{
  "name": "The World Shitscale",
  "url": "https://www.jetsupport.com.au/shitscale",
  "publisher": "Jet Support Pty Ltd",
  "dateModified": "2026-11-14",
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "description": "A score from 0 to 100 for the state of the world in every year from 0 to 2026, built from 17 measures in six weighted factors.",
  "method": [
    "Each measure is a worldwide figure for that year; values between data points are interpolated.",
    "Each measure is scored from 0 to 100 against fixed limits (worst plausible to ideal); measures that span huge ranges use a log scale.",
    "Measures are averaged into six factors with fixed sub-weights.",
    "Factors are combined with a weighted geometric mean (as in the UN Human Development Index), each factor floored at 1."
  ],
  "bands": [
    {
      "min": 0,
      "label": "Completely shit"
    },
    {
      "min": 15,
      "label": "Pretty shit"
    },
    {
      "min": 30,
      "label": "A bit shit"
    },
    {
      "min": 45,
      "label": "Meh"
    },
    {
      "min": 55,
      "label": "Pretty good"
    },
    {
      "min": 70,
      "label": "Great"
    },
    {
      "min": 85,
      "label": "Genuinely great"
    }
  ],
  "uncertainty": [
    {
      "from": 0,
      "to": 1499,
      "pm": 15,
      "label": "Mostly educated guesses"
    },
    {
      "from": 1500,
      "to": 1799,
      "pm": 10,
      "label": "Sparse historical estimates"
    },
    {
      "from": 1800,
      "to": 1899,
      "pm": 6,
      "label": "Reconstructed from historical records"
    },
    {
      "from": 1900,
      "to": 1949,
      "pm": 4,
      "label": "Patchy official statistics"
    },
    {
      "from": 1950,
      "to": 2026,
      "pm": 2,
      "label": "Modern global data"
    }
  ],
  "factors": [
    {
      "id": "health",
      "name": "Health",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 20,
      "description": "How long people live, and how many children survive.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "life",
          "name": "Life expectancy at birth",
          "unit": "years",
          "subWeight": 0.5,
          "worst": 20,
          "best": 85,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1770–2023",
          "estimates": "Before 1770: scholarly estimates of 24 to 27 years for pre-modern societies.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Life expectancy (Riley; Zijdeman et al.; UN WPP)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy",
              "years": "1770–2023"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "child",
          "name": "Children dying before age 5",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.5,
          "worst": 50,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1800–2024",
          "estimates": "Before 1800: about 45%, in line with Gapminder's earliest estimates.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Child mortality (Gapminder; UN IGME)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality",
              "years": "1800–2024"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "material",
      "name": "Material living standards",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 20,
      "description": "Poverty, income and whether people have enough to eat.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "poverty",
          "name": "Living in extreme poverty",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.4,
          "worst": 100,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1820–2026",
          "estimates": "Before 1820: about 82 to 85%, just above Moatsos' 1820 figure.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Extreme poverty, cost of basic needs (Moatsos 2021)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-population-living-in-extreme-poverty-cost-of-basic-needs",
              "years": "1820–1989"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Extreme poverty, $3 a day (World Bank PIP)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-population-in-extreme-poverty",
              "years": "1990–2026"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "gdp",
          "name": "Average income per person",
          "unit": "$ per year (2011 prices)",
          "subWeight": 0.3,
          "worst": 400,
          "best": 60000,
          "scale": "log",
          "dataYears": "1820–2022",
          "estimates": "Before 1820: Maddison's world estimates for years 1, 1000, 1500, 1600 and 1700, rescaled to 2011 prices.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: GDP per capita (Maddison Project Database 2023)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-per-capita-maddison-project-database",
              "years": "1820–2022"
            },
            {
              "name": "Maddison Historical Statistics",
              "url": "https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "hunger",
          "name": "Undernourished",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.3,
          "worst": 50,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1970–2024",
          "estimates": "1970 to 1999: FAO's developing-country figures scaled to a world level. Before 1970: our rough estimate.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Prevalence of undernourishment (FAO)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/prevalence-of-undernourishment",
              "years": "2000–2024"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Undernourishment in developing countries since 1970 (FAO)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/prevalence-of-undernourishment-in-developing-countries-since-1970",
              "years": "1970–1999"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "knowledge",
      "name": "Knowledge",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 10,
      "description": "Whether people can read, and how much schooling they get.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "literacy",
          "name": "Adults who can read",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.6,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 100,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1820–2024",
          "estimates": "Before 1820: 3 to 8%, rising slowly after the printing press.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Literacy rate (UNESCO and other sources)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cross-country-literacy-rates",
              "years": "1820–2024"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "school",
          "name": "Average years of schooling",
          "unit": "years",
          "subWeight": 0.4,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 15,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1870–2020",
          "estimates": "Before 1870: under half a year, falling towards zero.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Average years of schooling (Barro & Lee; Lee & Lee)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/mean-years-of-schooling-long-run",
              "years": "1870–2020"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "safety",
      "name": "Safety",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 15,
      "description": "Deaths from war and murder, and the nuclear threat.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "war",
          "name": "War deaths",
          "unit": "per 100,000 people per year",
          "subWeight": 0.4,
          "worst": 300,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "log",
          "dataYears": "1800–2025",
          "estimates": "Before 1800: our estimate at the same level as Project Mars' 1800s figures, with peaks for the late Roman wars, the Mongol conquests and the Thirty Years' War.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Deaths in wars (Project Mars)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/deaths-in-wars",
              "years": "1800–1945"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Death rate in state-based conflicts (PRIO; UCDP)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-state-based-conflicts",
              "years": "1946–1988"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Death rate in armed conflicts (UCDP)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-armed-conflicts",
              "years": "1989–2025"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: World population (to turn deaths into rates)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "homicide",
          "name": "Murder rate",
          "unit": "per 100,000 people per year",
          "subWeight": 0.4,
          "worst": 100,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "log",
          "dataYears": "2000–2024",
          "estimates": "Before 2000: our estimate, guided by Eisner's long-run European data (much higher in the Middle Ages).",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Homicide rate (UNODC)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate-unodc",
              "years": "2000–2024"
            },
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Homicide rates in Western Europe (Eisner)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rates-across-western-europe"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "nukes",
          "name": "Nuclear warheads in the world",
          "unit": "warheads",
          "subWeight": 0.2,
          "worst": 70000,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "log",
          "dataYears": "1945–2026",
          "estimates": null,
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Nuclear warhead stockpiles (Federation of American Scientists)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/nuclear-warhead-stockpiles",
              "years": "1945–2026"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "freedom",
      "name": "Freedom and rights",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 15,
      "description": "Whether people get a say in how they're governed and are free from abuse.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "democracy",
          "name": "People living in a democracy",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.5,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 100,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1789–2025",
          "estimates": "Before 1789: zero. No country was a democracy by V-Dem's definition.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: People living in democracies and autocracies (V-Dem)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies",
              "years": "1789–2025"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "rights",
          "name": "Human rights index (0 to 1)",
          "unit": "index",
          "subWeight": 0.25,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 1,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1789–2025",
          "estimates": "Before 1789: 0.2, slightly below V-Dem's earliest world figure. Slavery and forced labour were legal almost everywhere.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Human rights index (V-Dem)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/human-rights-index-vdem",
              "years": "1789–2025"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "women",
          "name": "Countries where women can vote",
          "unit": "%",
          "subWeight": 0.25,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 100,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1789–2025",
          "estimates": null,
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Universal right to vote for women (Lexical Index)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/universal-suffrage-women-lexical",
              "years": "1789–2025"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "planet",
      "name": "Planet",
      "defaultWeightPercent": 20,
      "description": "Climate, wildlife and forests.",
      "measures": [
        {
          "id": "temp",
          "name": "Warming above the 1861 to 1890 average",
          "unit": "°C",
          "subWeight": 0.3,
          "worst": 3,
          "best": 0,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1850–2026",
          "estimates": "Before 1850: 0°C. Reconstructions show no sustained global warming before industrialisation.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Global temperature anomaly (HadCRUT5)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly",
              "years": "1850–2026"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "co2",
          "name": "CO₂ in the atmosphere",
          "unit": "parts per million",
          "subWeight": 0.15,
          "worst": 560,
          "best": 280,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "0–2025",
          "estimates": null,
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Long-run CO₂ concentration (ice cores; NOAA)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/co2-long-term-concentration",
              "years": "1–2025"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "wildlife",
          "name": "Wildlife populations (year 0 = 100)",
          "unit": "index",
          "subWeight": 0.35,
          "worst": 0,
          "best": 100,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1970–2022",
          "estimates": "Before 1970: our rough reconstruction (100 in year 0, 55 by 1970). From 1970, the Living Planet Index's 73% decline applied to that 55.",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Living Planet Index (WWF; ZSL)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-living-planet-index",
              "years": "1970–2022"
            }
          ]
        },
        {
          "id": "forest",
          "name": "Forest area",
          "unit": "billion hectares",
          "subWeight": 0.2,
          "worst": 3,
          "best": 6,
          "scale": "linear",
          "dataYears": "1990–2025",
          "estimates": "Before 1990: our estimate based on Williams' long-run forest history (about 5.6 billion hectares in year 0).",
          "sources": [
            {
              "name": "Our World in Data: Forest area (FAO)",
              "url": "https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/forest-area-km",
              "years": "1990–2025"
            }
          ]
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "keyYears": [
    {
      "year": 1,
      "score": 16.1,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 8.1,
        "material": 13.1,
        "knowledge": 2.1,
        "safety": 61.2,
        "freedom": 5,
        "planet": 97.3
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 24.001,
        "child": 44.999,
        "poverty": 84.998,
        "gdp": 791,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 3.001,
        "school": 0.1,
        "war": 2,
        "homicide": 34.996,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.2,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 276.7,
        "wildlife": 99.995,
        "forest": 5.6
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1000,
      "score": 17.4,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 9.5,
        "material": 13.7,
        "knowledge": 3.1,
        "safety": 62.2,
        "freedom": 5,
        "planet": 94.3
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 25,
        "child": 44.333,
        "poverty": 83,
        "gdp": 762,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 4,
        "school": 0.267,
        "war": 2,
        "homicide": 31.154,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.2,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 279.254,
        "wildlife": 94.667,
        "forest": 5.424
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1350,
      "score": 18.2,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 10.3,
        "material": 14.9,
        "knowledge": 3.7,
        "safety": 61.5,
        "freedom": 5,
        "planet": 93.2
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 25.7,
        "child": 44.1,
        "poverty": 82.3,
        "gdp": 899.2,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 4.7,
        "school": 0.325,
        "war": 2.791,
        "homicide": 28,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.2,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 278.424,
        "wildlife": 92.8,
        "forest": 5.362
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1500,
      "score": 18.7,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 10.6,
        "material": 15.4,
        "knowledge": 3.9,
        "safety": 64.4,
        "freedom": 5,
        "planet": 92.6
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 26,
        "child": 44,
        "poverty": 82,
        "gdp": 958,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 5,
        "school": 0.35,
        "war": 2.343,
        "homicide": 22,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.2,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 282.954,
        "wildlife": 92,
        "forest": 5.335
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1700,
      "score": 20.9,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 12.2,
        "material": 17.5,
        "knowledge": 6.5,
        "safety": 69.7,
        "freedom": 5,
        "planet": 90.9
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 27,
        "child": 43.2,
        "poverty": 78.029,
        "gdp": 1041,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 9.19,
        "school": 0.383,
        "war": 2,
        "homicide": 12.5,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.2,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 277.417,
        "wildlife": 87.333,
        "forest": 5.3
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1800,
      "score": 23.4,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 13.7,
        "material": 18.7,
        "knowledge": 8,
        "safety": 77.9,
        "freedom": 6.7,
        "planet": 88.9
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 28.5,
        "child": 42.8,
        "poverty": 76.044,
        "gdp": 1113.275,
        "hunger": 45,
        "literacy": 11.571,
        "school": 0.4,
        "war": 0.21,
        "homicide": 10,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0,
        "rights": 0.267,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": 0,
        "co2": 282.908,
        "wildlife": 85,
        "forest": 5.15
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1850,
      "score": 26.9,
      "band": "Pretty shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 15.2,
        "material": 22,
        "knowledge": 10.8,
        "safety": 79.4,
        "freedom": 9.9,
        "planet": 86.6
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 29.3,
        "child": 42,
        "poverty": 73.807,
        "gdp": 1300.502,
        "hunger": 42.5,
        "literacy": 16.063,
        "school": 0.443,
        "war": 0.175,
        "homicide": 8.5,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 0.187,
        "rights": 0.393,
        "women": 0,
        "temp": -0.063,
        "co2": 284.002,
        "wildlife": 80,
        "forest": 5.075
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1900,
      "score": 31.6,
      "band": "A bit shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 18.3,
        "material": 32.5,
        "knowledge": 15.5,
        "safety": 73.8,
        "freedom": 12,
        "planet": 82.5
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 32,
        "child": 40.9,
        "poverty": 59.744,
        "gdp": 2265.469,
        "hunger": 40,
        "literacy": 21.404,
        "school": 1.008,
        "war": 2.199,
        "homicide": 7,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 3.356,
        "rights": 0.406,
        "women": 0.704,
        "temp": 0.134,
        "co2": 294.221,
        "wildlife": 75,
        "forest": 5
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1918,
      "score": 34.3,
      "band": "A bit shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 24.5,
        "material": 34.7,
        "knowledge": 22.5,
        "safety": 51.5,
        "freedom": 14.7,
        "planet": 80.9
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 35.761,
        "child": 37.6,
        "poverty": 59.932,
        "gdp": 2470.531,
        "hunger": 37.12,
        "literacy": 30.588,
        "school": 1.559,
        "war": 76.066,
        "homicide": 7,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 3.452,
        "rights": 0.401,
        "women": 11.905,
        "temp": -0.062,
        "co2": 303.852,
        "wildlife": 70.32,
        "forest": 4.892
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1943,
      "score": 40.2,
      "band": "A bit shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 40.8,
        "material": 42.5,
        "knowledge": 28.1,
        "safety": 43.9,
        "freedom": 18.9,
        "planet": 73.5
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 44.068,
        "child": 27.7,
        "poverty": 51.139,
        "gdp": 3397.289,
        "hunger": 33.12,
        "literacy": 34.758,
        "school": 2.725,
        "war": 226.495,
        "homicide": 7,
        "nukes": 0,
        "democracy": 9.383,
        "rights": 0.347,
        "women": 21.91,
        "temp": 0.37,
        "co2": 312.367,
        "wildlife": 63.82,
        "forest": 4.742
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1950,
      "score": 45,
      "band": "A bit shit",
      "factors": {
        "health": 45.6,
        "material": 42.3,
        "knowledge": 29.7,
        "safety": 49.3,
        "freedom": 29.2,
        "planet": 75
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 46.394,
        "child": 24.7,
        "poverty": 53.132,
        "gdp": 3360.164,
        "hunger": 32,
        "literacy": 35.959,
        "school": 3.034,
        "war": 22.149,
        "homicide": 7,
        "nukes": 374,
        "democracy": 17.509,
        "rights": 0.425,
        "women": 39.13,
        "temp": 0.124,
        "co2": 312.831,
        "wildlife": 62,
        "forest": 4.7
      }
    },
    {
      "year": 1970,
      "score": 56.2,
      "band": "Pretty good",
      "factors": {
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        "material": 53.9,
        "knowledge": 46,
        "safety": 49.5,
        "freedom": 49.4,
        "planet": 69.2
      },
      "measures": {
        "life": 56.266,
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        "hunger": 24.116,
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        "homicide": 7.2,
        "nukes": 38799,
        "democracy": 34.629,
        "rights": 0.442,
        "women": 83.957,
        "temp": 0.28,
        "co2": 324.557,
        "wildlife": 55,
        "forest": 4.522
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    },
    {
      "year": 1990,
      "score": 60.8,
      "band": "Pretty good",
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        "material": 60.9,
        "knowledge": 61.2,
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      },
      "measures": {
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        "nukes": 61229,
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        "temp": 0.719,
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        "forest": 4.343
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    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
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      "band": "Pretty good",
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        "material": 67.1,
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        "planet": 50.4
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      "measures": {
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        "homicide": 6.898,
        "nukes": 34004,
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        "temp": 0.69,
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        "wildlife": 25.204,
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    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
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      "band": "Pretty good",
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        "material": 77.3,
        "knowledge": 72.4,
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        "planet": 43.2
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      "measures": {
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        "nukes": 21234,
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        "wildlife": 18.332,
        "forest": 4.201
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    },
    {
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      "score": 66.3,
      "band": "Pretty good",
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        "material": 78.5,
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        "planet": 44.2
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      "measures": {
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        "homicide": 6.172,
        "nukes": 20035,
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        "temp": 0.897,
        "co2": 390.62,
        "wildlife": 17.464,
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    },
    {
      "year": 2026,
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    }
  ],
  "peak": {
    "year": 2011,
    "score": 66.3
  },
  "lowest": {
    "year": 0,
    "score": 16.1
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  "allYearsCsv": "https://www.jetsupport.com.au/shitscale-scores.csv"
}